January 14, 2020

Taal Volcano Explosion

N95 Respiratory Dust Mask at Lazada website.

Over Pricing N95

Recent eruption of Taal Volcano prompted some businesses to capitalize on the ongoing tragedy. From previous price of PHP30, N95 mask is being sold in the market for PHP170-PHP200 (price source Lazada). Some clever business owners would readily defend the price and would say that it was due to supply and demand; but this is misleading. When you bought the supply (from China or other countries) and it cost less than PHP30 and that you can readily import anytime without price increase from your supplier, then it is very clear that there is no shortage in supply. What was happening in the market is that some businesses are trying to control the price (fixing the price) by controlling the supply; this is not the work of natural law of supply and demand but rather a price manipulation. It’s like a practice of bad monopoly - when you know that you have control over the supply and people have no choice but buy, because there is no other cheap alternative (and because it’s a need), and then you jack-up the price (85% increase) in just a single day – then there is something wrong, that is greediness. It is very disappointing how some businesses react in times of calamity; it is not that you are prohibiting them from profiting, but when there is too much greed that is just not acceptable.

Agriculture Damage

According to government officials, damage in agriculture sector caused by Taal Volcano eruption hit PHP3 billion (and the figure is still increasing). Majority of the damage hit coffee plantation while the rest came from corn and livestock. There is also huge un-calculated damage in fisheries covering 6000 fish cages near Taal, with an estimated 15,033 metric tons of fish, which is seen to negatively affect the supply of Telapia fish in the market.

Declaration of State of Calamity

Yesterday, January 13, the provincial government of Batangas declared State of Calamity for the entire province of Batangas. According to Vice Governor Leviste, the declaration will enable the local government of Batangas to utilize funds faster for relief operation, rehabilitation, reconstruction, recovery and other works; the PDRRMC has PHP200 million in budget and the provincial government has PHP 100 million. 

Current Condition

PHIVOLCS has raised alert level 4 over Taal Volcano (level 5 is the highest); according to government officials more than 100,000 people have been evacuated (as of Jan 15) out of 459,000 populations from the 14km danger zone (17km danger zone comprise 930,000 population). 10km radius high risk zone, under mandatory evacuation include (with respective population): Agoncillo (38,059 pop.), Alitagtag (25,300 pop.), Balete (22,661 pop.), Cuenca (32,783 pop.), Laurel (39,444 pop.), Lemery (93,157 pop.), Malvar (56,270 pop.), Mataas na Kahoy (29,187 pop.), San Nicolas (22,623 pop.), Sta Teresita (21,127 pop.), Talisay (48,797 pop.), parts of Taal, Lipa City and Tanauan City.

Article updated: Jan 15, 2020; Jan 19, 2020

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December 7, 2019

Why do people take drugs?

Shallow Focus Photography of Cannabis Plant by Michael Fischer.

The term “drugs” is well known worldwide, it is associated with two words, the “bad” and the “good”. Bad drugs can harm you, while good drugs can cure health problems. One can say that the reason for taking drugs is due to physical and mental pain. For example, if you feel burning hot in your body, you might take a Paracetamol, or if your cough disturbs your daily activity you might take a cough medicine. In other words, good drugs act as a good medicine; it solves the pain making the person healthy again. On one hand, bad drugs acts as a short term solution to the user giving him the feeling of relief and calmness but once the effect is gone, the user feels again the pain and anxiety he wished to escape. 

The difference between the good and the bad drug is that, the latter offers a short term relief but does not cure the problem, leaving the user at the mercy and dependence of the drug. Like any type of addiction, drug addiction gives a person a short term relief (a relaxing feeling) but does not really help the person solve the real cause of his problems and anxieties. 

Take the case of a poor man who has been a victim of drug addiction. A poor man living in a slum area takes a bad drug because he feels unhappy about his life; he lacks financial security as well as food security. He wakes-up everyday seeing the poverty of his family. His insecurity is being fueled further by reality distorted videos and filtered photos he is seeing on social media and television. He feels helpless knowing that he has been enduring his poor circumstance for more than a decade. His neighbor, also a poor guy, tries to offer help and friendship by giving him shot of bad drug. Suddenly, the poor guys felt relieved; calmness and happiness are the words of the moment. But after the effect of drug is gone, reality seeps-in, what was heaven for a while is back to normal they want to escape. Because the poor guy wants to feel again the easiness of being high on drug, he plans to buy another shot. But he doesn’t have a regular job; because of this, he thinks of easy ways to produce money, what comes out of his mind is dangerous: violating the law and committing crimes, he thinks, is the surest way to easy money; he executes the plan with confidence and feels no fear that he will be caught by the law enforcers. 

The case above is not new, a person takes a shot of bad drug in hopes that he will feel better and everything around him will get better automatically; bad drugs can really make a person feel good and happy but it is temporary and it will not solve the root of the problem. If only he can think of good solutions to his financial problem, and there is someone who can provide a helping hand, he might recover. He can then start to build a new life; he will start to feel that he can now change his circumstances; he will start to dream of good things about his family. Once his reality is now his happiness; because he now wakes-up in abundance of food in the table and the sound of laughter of his wife and kids, then maybe and most likely, he will no longer seek the life of a drug addict. 

The use of bad drugs is not only due to financial problems, what is sure is that its use is related to problems in life that causes anxiety. These problems can range from family problems to personal problems. Theoretically, optimistic and happy people are less likely to engage in drug addiction; why, because these people can think of solutions to their problem while maintaining a positive emotion. If a person is happy and optimistic, he is less likely to be anxious. When you are not anxious and you feel good about yourself (about your life) then there is a less chance that you will engage in bad drugs. 

The government, private sector, society, and each and every family has a big part to play in making the reality a better place – this is the only way, and the safest way to solve drug addiction; because no one needs an escape to a daily dose of beautiful reality.

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October 27, 2019

The Origin of Money

Top View Photography of People by Johannes Rapprich.

At some point in time, have you ever thought about why money exists? Have you asked, why use money, why not use leaves, rocks, or other things as medium of exchange – why did we choose money? Where is the value of money coming from? It’s just a paper bill and metal coin, why does it have a value (it’s also digital today; you can’t even hold it, just like air)? Why do we believe that it has value? These are some of the questions I hope to answer in this article.

According to Adam Smith (father of economics), the first wealth of the world was purchased by labour (not by gold, by money or etc.). If you want a house, you have to build it by yourself, you have to labour (work) on your own; you have to source the materials by yourself, plan by yourself, dig and build by yourself. During those days you have to work on your own to build your wealth. Today, if you have money, you can pay labourers (carpenter, mason, engineer, architect, and the likes) to build your house, you can also buy the materials of your house using money.

Barter became a common way of exchange in the past, it’s like you can exchange something you own so that you can get something you need or want in return. If you are a carpenter, you can exchange your carpentry skill for rice grains that was harvested by the farmer. You can barter with the farmer saying that you will do the carpentry of his house in exchange for 10kg of rice grain per days of labour. If you are a hog raiser, you can exchange a kilo of pork meat to a kilo of bread baked by the baker. Thus, you would see that barter involves no currency; barter is an exchange of goods to goods, service to goods, and service to service (goods means products, items, or possessions).

But what if you have one live cow in your possession and you just want to have 1 gram of salt? It would be irrational to slaughter the cow and portion it just for a one gram of salt, or to trade the whole cow for kilos of salt. Monetary (money) system was introduced to solve this problem. There were plenty of monetary measures that were introduced in the past, but the most popular was the use of metals: gold and silver. The reason why metals were used during those times is because these metals are not easy to produce and replicate; a lot of physical labour is required to extract these metals underground. In short, these metals are not easy to get or to counterfeit during that time, which is why they were used as measurement of value (but today there are machines that can be use to ease the extraction of these metals; there are also machines, today, for counterfeiting these metals). 

Simulating the past, green leaves are easy to obtain, I will not trade my harvested fruits for leaves. Rocks are easy to obtain, I will not provide my carpentry skills in exchange for a rock. You see, people will only trade their possession (services and goods) to something that has been laboured. Obtaining rock and leaf requires very little labour at all, while digging gold and silver requires huge amount of labour. In passing, money became light weight for convenience of exchange and ease of carrying; number system was introduced to ease valuation; paper and coin money was created with security marks to prevent counterfeiting. Small metal coins and light weight paper bills became the new money which replaced gold and silver to ease the monetary transactions and exchange.

You might asked, why did we trade the precious metals to small coins and paper bills? Is it not evident that the production of precious metals is more labour intensive than the automated production of small coins and paper bills? We trade the possession of precious metals to coins and paper bills because the government guaranteed that these coins and bills have value. Thus, our trust to the words of the government is the main reason why coins and paper bills have value. The government is saying to the public that we must trust that the money that they produced or manufactured (the currency) has value, and therefore there is always someone willing to labour in exchange for the said currency. Counter intuitively, if you don’t trust the government you will not trade your possession in exchange of the currency (the money). If an ordinary man guaranteed the value of the paper bills, I will not be surprised if no one will use that currency, since trust is difficult to give to a person who has no credibility. At some point in time, the government has proven its credibility by building infrastructure, fostering independence, providing protection and security, imposing laws to maintain peace and order, and facilitating government services. That is why the people have put its trust in the government by using the currency in exchange of precious metals. It is also noteworthy to mention that the value of money is not only base on trust, but also on the quantity of labour it can command. If no one is willing to provide labour in exchange of the money, then money will no longer be valuable. The trust in the government and the existence of labour force is the main reason why money has value. 

Labour force today is no longer confined to human labour, machine can also provide labour. For example, washing machine can provide labour by washing your clothes powered by the electricity. Production machinery can provide labour by automated production of things such as cell phone, laptop, electric fan, bags, shirts, air conditioner, televisions, cars, and many others. Even your smart phone is labouring for you, it is keeping you connected to the world, to information, and to people you love; but this device requires electricity, and the use of electricity requires you to pay money. Your car will labour for you, it will bring you to different destinations, but it will require fuel energy, and obtaining fuel energy requires you to pay money. The use of money is to free us from labour, you pay for a car so that you will no longer need to engage in physical walk; you pay for a house so that you will no longer need to build it by yourself; you pay for a restaurant so that you will no longer need cook the food by yourself; you pay for food so that you would no longer need to hunt for food. People are labouring (working), to obtain money, so that they can free themselves from other forms of labour. As long as there are people and machineries that are labouring (working) and trust in the government remains high, money will continue to be valuable. 

Central Bank is the branch of government that deals with the manufacturing of money. You might ask again, since it is easy to create money by just printing it, why not print trillions of money? Then distribute the money to everyone so that the problem in poverty would be resolve, so that everyone could be wealthy? If you print trillions of money without basis, you will devaluate the money (money will lose its value). As mentioned in the previous paragraphs, the basis of the value of money is labour, thus, printed money that has no equivalent labour has no value. It means that each money in the circulation must have an equivalent labour; giving free manufactured money to someone will be unfair to people who are labouring to obtain hard earned money; giving free money will trigger mistrust to the government (people who are labouring will feel betrayed) and will result to loose of trust in the currency. 

To make the case of devaluation simple, imagine that your neighbour is labouring eight hours a day just to plant rice so that he can earn a good sum of money at the end of the month; while you, on one hand, have been authorized by the Central Bank to print money. You used your printed money to buy your neighbours’ harvested rice grains; your neighbour did not complain since the money he received as payment is authentic. Your neighbour heard the sound of your printing machine; as a result, he discovered that you are manufacturing paper bills. Do you think next time you buy rice grains to your neighbour; would he still exchange his goods for your money? 

Even if you try to convince your neighbour that the printing machine that you are using is the same as the Central Bank and that you are authorized by the Central Bank, your neighbour will start to lose trust in your printed money since he knows that you are just printing it, rather than labouring for it (Why would I trade my goods and services in a money that was just easily printed? I know that he is just sitting all day waiting for his money to be printed). You see, people are accepting money in good faith that it is being laboured. If you print free money and give it to everyone, people will soon discover that some of the money in the circulation has no equivalent labour and soon it will lose its value and confidence. This is the main reason why Central Bank cannot just print money and flood it to the circulation; Central Bank must balance the supply of money to protect the value of money. 

The value of money is just as good as to how much labour it can command; money will not resolve poverty if it has no value.

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October 17, 2019

Why increase the Price of Water?

Landscape Photography of Water Falls by Diana Dorčáková.

There is a reason why utility industry is regulated by the government; water for example is a life blood of the society. If you try to make this industry for profit and purely capitalistic (profit maximization oriented), private business interest might dominate the public interest. Private interest cannot mix with the public interest; private interest is for personal growth while public interest is for everyone’s good.

You see, if you are a leader of a private company, your goal is to make your company grow; the problem arises when you realize that your good is a public good. You realize that water is not owned by your company, it is a public wealth, and therefore you must not act as if you own this resource. You are the distributor of the water; you are not the owner of the water. If the private distributor of the water disregards the interest of the public, then the government must find a way to protect the public interest and the said public wealth (the water).

780% increase in the price of water is a public threat; a private entity exercising its power to the most valuable resource of the earth, saying to the public that I can increase the price of water whatever percentage because I will be fined by the Supreme Court (for almost 1 Billion Pesos) for not complying in the Clean Water Act, and therefore the public must shoulder the burden. Why are you so afraid of the income lost that will be brought by fine? Why can’t you own the responsibility of fixing the problem rather than throw it to the public? In the first place, why are you warning a water price increase in a country with so much supply of fresh water reserved(Philippines Renewable Internal Freshwater resources: 479 billion cubic meters; among top 20 worldwide. Source: 2014 World Bank Data)? Furthermore, you know that water is a public good, water is not for pure profit business; you must use economies of scale if you want to create right profit in this industry; you must expand your service and reach, increase efficiency by lowering the cost of distribution by investing in new technologies, rather than directly increasing the price to increase your profit. You are almost a monopoly, you have less competition; income should not be a problem to your company – then why would you result to price increase?

I hope that this private institution will not add-up to the economic problems of the society. Always remember, that you (water company) have a big part to play in ensuring the good welfare of the public. You are the distributor of one of the most valuable resource of our country; don’t betray your countrymen, just for your own good.

[In reaction to 780% water price increase warning]
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October 9, 2019

Value is different from Price

Close-up of Water Pouring in Glass by Coco Images.

When we think about value, many times we associate it with price (find the synonyms of “price” and you will find the term “value”). We put value to almost everything specially when the price is high - we value land, car, house, and jewelry not only because of its use (or utility), but because these things are considered prize possessions and can command high price. But, is there really a difference between price and value? 

In business field, it could be perceived as a waste of time to discuss the difference between price and value, since both terms are being used interchangeably in the said field. But I think there is a significant difference between the two terms, and I would argue that these terms should not be used interchangeably. Value is synonymous to the terms: "importance", "usage" and "utility"; while price is much influenced by "supply” and “demand". Value answers the questions like: what is the importance of the product? What is the usage of the product? Therefore, value is not easy to quantify compared to price. Price on the other hand is market driven and its numbers (quantity) are readily available in the market; that is, the price of a product might go up or down depending on the bid and offer price in the market.

Theoretically, price in the real world might not reflect the real value of a product. If price reflects value, then high value products must have high price. Hypothetically speaking, food has high value compared to jewelry (food is more important than jewelry); some families would readily trade any jewels to cash so that they could buy a food, yet 1 gram of gold is priced higher than 1 gram of rice. If truly price reflects the value of a product, a 1 gram of gold should not be priced higher than 1 gram of rice. Others might say that gold is more valuable than food that is why it is priced higher! In response, if truly gold is more valuable than food; if say we remove food from the economy (no any food to eat at all), then realistically speaking, miners and jewelry makers will not be able to work because there is no food to bring energy to their body, and as a result, jewelries (gold) will not exist in the market. In this case, I would not say that jewelries are more valuable than food, because the absence of food will result to absence of jewelries; but rather, I would state that jewelries can command high price compared to food. Then again, this example would prove that value is not equal to price in some cases. 

Price is market driven, whereas value is subjective or personal. A carpenter will give high value to a hammer compared to a writer; while a writer will give high value to a pen compared to a carpenter. A technologist will value personal computer compared to a mechanical watch, while a horologist will argue that the art of watch making is much valuable than automated production of computer. On the other hand, price is market driven in the sense that it can be influenced by supply and demand. Given that the supply of a product is in normal state, an increase in demand will push the price up; if consumer demand for a product is in normal state, and the supply of the said product declined – then price will go up as well. As expressed previously, it is evident that the Law of Supply and Demand is very applicable in determining prices.

Factors of production can also affect the price. Particularly, the cost of labor, land, and capital has direct effect on price; an increase in the cost of production will increase the price of the product. Factor of production is also the reason behind the Water-Diamond Paradox. Water-Diamond Paradox argues that water is more valuable than diamond and yet diamond commands higher price. The reason behind why diamond is priced higher than water is because a lot of labor and capital is required to extract diamond underneath the ground. On the contrary, water above the surface of the earth is so abundant that fewer labor and capital is required to extract the said resource. But again, I will reiterate that even though diamond commands higher price than water, it is unquestionable that water is more valuable than diamond; because non-existence of water will result to depletion of life and thus will result to in-ability to extract diamond. 

The value of our possessions should not be based on price, but rather, it should be based on how these things enhanced our life and well being.

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September 26, 2019

Everything is a Theory unless it’s a Law

Blue Jelly Fish by Public Domain Pictures.

When we talk about things, when we hear statements, we have the tendency to believe that the information is true specially when the information is coming from a reputable people and organization or the information is coming from a friend or a family. Little do we regard that in this world that we are living, there are only few universal truths (laws), and that most of the statements we encounter everyday are just theories. If you are a college (or high school) graduate you would probably know, that in science, there are only few “laws” that we can call. We classify a statement as a law if it is unquestionably true, which means that the statement has been proven scientifically many times using statistics, mathematics, and experiments; and no test or evidence can proved that that the statement is false. 

Laws are being developed with the help of data and empirical evidence using observation and experimentation, in this sense, a law is a discovery rather than a creation; laws are already existing waiting to be discovered. In general, every statement can be a law as long as you can prove that your statement is universally applicable to everything using legitimate evidences. In economics we have – Laws of Supply and Demand, Gresham’s Law, Say’s Lay, Law of Diminishing Marginal Utility, Ricardo’s Law, and Okun’s Law. In physics we have – Conservation Laws, Laws of Classical Mechanics, Laws of Gravitation and Relativity, Thermodynamics, Electromagnetism, Photonics, Laws of Quantum Mechanics, and Radiation Laws (to physics students: please correct me if I’m wrong or if I forgot to mention a law). If you observed, economics and physics school of thought have existed for many years and yet, the laws that each school holds are less than your fingers. So why do we in some cases, believe in people (or information) as if they were speaking of the universal truth? While the fact holds that universal truth is hard to achieve? I think rather classifying information as universally correct, we should be quite critical, and classify most information as “theories” (or hypothesis) subject for testing. It goes with the saying that what can be true to you might be false to others, or what might be helpful to you might not be helpful to others. Therefore, people who claim that their statement or idea is universally accurate should be ready to defend their claim using unquestionable empirical evidence. 

In this era of information technology, we are faced with abundant information which can harm or help us or can just drain our time and energy; hence, it essential for us to have a critical mind so that we can decide carefully which information is true or false, important or not-important. Knowing that discovering universal truth (law) is not easy (you will become a Nobel prize winner if you discover one), that it requires a lot of labor, evidence, and experimentation; makes us humble enough to recognize that some of the knowledge that we acquired, and opinions we hold, are just intelligent guess.

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September 20, 2019

The Minimal Economy

Person Taking Picture of Beige Building Using Black Smartphone by Vlad Bagacian.

The term “minimalism” is not new to people nowadays, which means living productive (having a decent life) using less stuff (things). In present time, the minimalist trend has crawled in our economy (developing and develop countries). In the past, you need books, papers and pens to study, now you only need a mobile phone or a tablet to do all the studying stuff. In the past, we use television, telephone, pager, newspaper & magazine, calendar, alarm clock, game console, stereo, MP3 player, CD/DVD player, FM radio, camera and video recorder separately; now, all of these stuffs are packed in your smart phone. You don’t need to buy a car to have a car, nowadays; you can use your phone to book a car ride. You don’t need kitchen equipment to eat a decent food; with just one press in your phone, someone is ready to cook and deliver a food for you. We are now in an era of “dematerialization” with the help of advance technology. And, who needs a wrist watch nowadays - it’s also in your phone.

From big vacuum tube TV, we are now using infinity display smart phone, which are using high definition screen technology and using less energy. As technology advanced, efficiency will increase, from producing a 20 km/h metal bicycle, new technology is enabling us to create a 50 km/h bicycle that is made from carbon. The bicycle materials are getting light, aerodynamic, durable, and less costly with the help of new technology and engineering. The future of cars will soon go to this direction, carbon frame engineering, powered by electricity and smart technology.

As cities progressed, walk-ability will be one of the standards of a modern city, soon, people will use less cars and more people will walk as the proximity of their homes get close to their work and walking paths get comfortable and safe. Houses can now be prefabricated using light materials; development in this segment will enable high quality low cost housing. Vertical farming is also revolutionary; space will no longer be a problem for agriculture development. Lighting systems is getting more efficient, the use of “led light” provides better lighting using less energy. Renewable energy development will also pave the way to abundant energy supply which will result to low cost clean energy. Even the use of paper bills and coins are getting less, we can now use our phone to pay bills and buy things. 

Tech evolution is people empowering, getting more productivity using less resources; and less stuff means less waste.

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September 11, 2019

Is Stock Market Gambling?

Ace of Spade Playing Card on Grey Surface by Pixabay.

I was listening to an economics podcast in US and a guest commented that stock market is gambling. I would argue that it’s not, why, because gambling is a “zero-sum game” where in a players loss income is equivalent to other players gain income. Stock market is the opposite; your winning income depends on the success of other stock players – prices of stocks would most likely go up if the stock market players perceive that their colleague player will not sell at a low price. Thus, for a stock player to win, it is one of the essentials that his colleague must also win. 

There is also a big difference in the length of playing in gambling and stock market. Gambling is like, you bet your money that the coin will be heads and in a flip of a second, it turn out that the coin is tails, and in a flip of a second you lose all the money you bet. Stock market is not like that, or investing should I say. In investing you bet your money in a company you think that will be profitable in the future - you make a research, analyze trends, the financials, the news, and when the prices go down – you don’t lose your money as long as you don’t sell your shares of stocks. You can cut-loss, but unlike gambling, you don’t lose all the money you bet. 

This simple fact reminds me that, traders and investors should not go to stock market as if they are gambling, because stock market was established so that everyone could win – it is even called a “security” and well regulated by the government. It is also good to mention again that stock market is not a “zero-sum game”, which means your win is not another’s loss, in the long run, if everyone wants to win in stock market, a win-win mindset must always be present – not a gambling mindset.

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September 4, 2019

The Economies of Scale is the Future

BGC Parks by IPR.

There is a concept in economics that is very relevant today, this concept might be one of the solutions to poverty, the concept is known as the economies of scale. Economies of scale pertain to production of goods (products) at the maximum level – as production increases, average cost of producing a product decreases. Using hypothetical example, if you have a agriculture land that is capable of producing 10,000 tomatoes and you are only producing 1,000 tomatoes (at a price of PHP 1 each which is equivalent to PHP 1,000 income) then you are not applying economies of scale, but if you maximize the use of land and harvested 10,000 tomatoes (with the same number of laborer) then you are applying economies of scale. Assuming that the business is better-off with PHP 1,000 income, the 10,000 produced tomatoes could be sold for only PHP 0.10 centavo (PHP 1,000/10,000 tomatoes) which is 90% lower than previous price of PHP 1 if the business chose to produce 1,000 tomatoes only (take note that in a competitive market, consumers will most likely choose products that are affordable). The said example is a win-win situation between business and consumer; the business was able to realize the target PHP 1,000 income and the consumer was able to buy tomatoes at a very low price. The implication of this is that, economies of scale could be one of the answers to poverty; by lowering the price of goods and services using mass production (or maximum production technique) with the help of new technologies, purchasing power of people could be enhanced. 

If you imagine the application of economies of scale, its use could be universal, and could be applied to almost everything. But first, if we want to solve poverty we have to apply this concept first in the basic products - such as food, shelter, clothing, energy, transportation, and health products. Imagine if we can reduce the cost of all this products to almost zero, because of the efficiency in production that would be brought by technology, then, that would be the future that everyone could envision. I am sounding idealistic here, but if we want a better world that is inclusive, countries should start to re-think the concept of economies of scale. 

But before anything else, how can we encourage businesses to produce products and sell it at a very low price? Application of economies of scale is not new, if you look in the internet and go to shopping websites, you would notice products from China that are sold at a very competitive low price, so low that it is almost free (e.g. mini led lights for only PHP 10 – at this price the poorest of the poor can afford to own a light). I think this is one of the secrets of success of China; they can produce plenty of goods and sell it at a very low price. In the case of developing countries like Philippines, taking energy as the case; if we encourage investments in energy plants, which would increase the supply of energy to the maximum level, then time will come that price of energy will almost be free. The almost free energy will have a chain effect that will result to lower price of other goods and services (lower transportation cost, lower manufacturing cost, lower maintenance cost and the likes). The economies of scale revolution fueled by technological advancement can start from different industries (agriculture, manufacturing, energy, transportation and etc.); if you grasp the idea, this revolution could be phenomenal that life will almost be free.

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August 14, 2019

How Does Internet Information Affect Our Decisions?

Focus Photography of Keyboard by Kacper Cybinski.

Studies would prove that our decisions could be influenced by internet information – there are rising number of influencers in social media (e.g. Youtube, Facebook, and Twitter). Information that we consider fact (or true) is the most influential when it comes to decision making. This topic is timely because, day to day we are making decisions, and day to day we are bombarded by information that could be factual or fake; important or insignificant. 

Information can be use to influence the decisions of people. That is, you could be making decisions based on influence of media (video, photo, article and etc.) that was engineered based on your data. If you are not familiar with data modelling (or should we call it also information modelling), it is the science of testing data; it is use to know which data affects one data. Questions like: 

“If you increase your advertisement (ads) in Facebook will your followers grow?” 

The data that will be use to answer this problem is: number of ads in Facebook and the number of followers. Then, the collected data will be analyze using statistical tools (apps). If statistical results are positive, then you can decide to continue to air the ads in Facebook since it has positive effect on the number of your followers. 

Knowledge of data can also be use in a bad way. For example, let say that data test shows that people tend to select strong leaders when number of violent news increase. During election, the said information could be used by a candidate by building strong-alpha male image and spreading violent news in the internet (and in television); usually they are in the form of articles, memes, photos, and videos. The people who are being targeted by the said information would be influenced that the world is full of violence even though there is no enough data or statistical evidence to prove the claim. As a result of media exposure, people could jump into conclusion that their country needs a strong-alpha male leader because the world is full of violence. 

In defense to the above example and realistically speaking, there are negative events in this world, but there are positive as well, thus, one cannot conclude or isolate that the world is negative alone (and one cannot also isolate that the world is positive alone). The point is that one person should not jump into conclusion based on few evidence.

There is a tendency for people to believe based on what they are seeing rather than in statistics – people might not distinguished the difference between “trending” and “pressing” issues (trending topics does not mean that they are the most pressing issues in a country). For example, do trending stories about celebrities more important than issues that relates to leading cause of death in a country? Would you be more concern about the social life of celebrities than information that would help extend your life expectancy? Would you be more concern about the trending beautiful faces of celebrities than the information that could help you regain your health, which could then result for you to have a healthier skin? 

Internet (and television) tends to feed us with information that we “like”. If we like violence and hate speech, then internet will make sure that we see more of this in our feeds every day. If you like celebrities, then your feeds will be full of celebrities. Internet feeds (social media) are designed to show us what we like, not what the world is really like.

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